Nvidia’s financial performance has had a direct and profound impact on the prices of AI-related cryptocurrencies, historically causing them to surge prior to the release of earnings reports, only to cool off afterward.
In the days leading up to Nvidia’s much-anticipated quarterly earnings report, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a remarkable surge in AI token prices. Investors, eager to capitalize on the potential gains from the world’s leading AI technology company, went all in, driving a significant upswing in market cap. By betting heavily on this potential windfall, the market cap of AI tokens saw an astronomical increase of $8 billion within a week. This surge stood in stark contrast to the broader cryptocurrency market, where established players like Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced notable price drops of 5% and 7%, respectively.
The rally was particularly concentrated on AI-related cryptocurrencies, with tokens such as Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET), Near (NEAR), and Render (RENDER) capturing the lion’s share of investor attention.
However, this dramatic rise turned out to be somewhat illusory. Despite the overall upward trend, several prominent AI tokens, including Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, Near, Render, Bittensor, and Injective, recorded declines in value. Leading this downward trend was Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, which saw a sharp 10.16% decline over a 24-hour period, trading at $1.22.
Nvidia’s earnings have consistently influenced AI crypto tokens, which tend to surge before earnings announcements and then lose momentum afterward. This pattern was clearly visible in 2024, when FET and RENDER experienced significant gains following Nvidia’s earnings reports in February and May, only to see their prices drop shortly thereafter.
The Nvidia quarterly report has kept investors, Wall Street analysts, and institutional stakeholders on edge. According to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s trading desk, the anticipation surrounding Nvidia—dubbed “the most important stock on planet Earth”—is at an all-time high. Bespoke Investment Group echoed this sentiment by stating, “It’s hard to remember a time when there was so much anticipation regarding one company’s earnings report.”
QCP Capital, a digital asset trading firm, has also been closely monitoring Nvidia’s quarterly earnings to gauge their impact on the cryptocurrency market. In a recent report, QCP Capital noted, “We remain cautious that US equities might peak again here, given declining trading volumes and Nvidia’s earnings today. Nvidia options are pricing up to a 10% move higher tonight,” indicating potential volatility for the broader crypto market. Nvidia has consistently outperformed analysts’ estimates in its last four earnings reports.
Highlighting the significance of this event, Ameriprise Financial’s Anthony Saglimbene remarked that Nvidia’s earnings report could have more impact on the overall market than even Jerome Powell’s recent Jackson Hole speech.
As expected, AI tokens experienced a decline following the release of Nvidia’s quarterly earnings report. QCP Capital quickly observed this trend post-release, noting that:
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By expanding on these insights, we gain a comprehensive view of how Nvidia’s performance intricately affects AI-related cryptocurrencies and why this phenomenon has garnered such intense scrutiny from various market participants.