Tech Trends: GenAI, Smart Cities, Metaverse & Quantum Leap

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Generative AI (GenAI) has been making waves since OpenAI’s ChatGPT hit over 100 million users just two months after its launch in December 2022. Unlike older machine learning (ML) systems that simply predict patterns, GenAI uses large language models (LLMs) to learn how different types of data—like text, images, or even DNA—are structured. It then creates new content based on simple prompts in languages like English or Hindi.

Tools like ChatGPT, Bing Chat, Gemini, and DALL-E 2 are being refined by companies to reduce costs in areas like customer service and content creation. But many businesses are still cautious, using these tools in small experiments instead of rolling them out widely. Challenges like “hallucinations” (making up false information), biases, intellectual property issues, high energy consumption, and unclear returns on investment make companies hesitant.

A Goldman Sachs report questioned whether the $1 trillion being spent on AI infrastructure is justified without clear benefits. Similarly, Gartner predicts that by 2025, nearly 30% of GenAI projects might fail due to poor data and rising costs, which can range from $5 million to $20 million per project.

In India, the AI sector is expected to grow by 25-35% annually over the next few years, according to Nasscom and EY. However, while 75% of Indian companies are exploring AI at a proof-of-concept stage, only 40% are ready to fully implement it. Adoption is slow in traditional industries like energy and manufacturing, while banking, retail, and telecom are progressing faster. To move from being “AI-ready” to “AI-first,” experts recommend improving data management, forming partnerships, and using AI wisely. Small businesses are encouraged to stay agile and collaborate with tech specialists.

Although GenAI shows promise with models like OpenAI’s advanced systems and Gemini 2.0, questions remain about whether they can truly “reason” like humans—a debate that borders more on philosophy than tech. Real-world results often fall short of expectations. For instance, a Stanford study found that LLMs currently lack the ability to generate genuinely novel research ideas.

On a different front, India’s Smart Cities Mission, launched in 2015, has completed over 90% of its projects across 100 cities. Achievements include integrated control centers, 83,000 CCTV cameras, better water monitoring systems, solar/LED streetlights, and thousands of smart roads and housing units. However, the mission still struggles with issues like traffic congestion, air pollution, and poor water quality. Data privacy concerns also loom large as citizens hesitate to share personal information.

Globally, smart cities are evolving slowly. Zurich, Oslo, and Singapore rank at the top of the Smart City Index for 2024, but no Indian city made the top 100. Despite this, India is pushing forward with plans for Smart City 2.0 and has approved new industrial smart cities to boost manufacturing and create jobs.

Meanwhile, the Pacific nation of Tuvalu is turning to the metaverse to preserve its culture as it faces rising sea levels from climate change. Using technologies like augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR), Tuvalu is creating a digital twin—a virtual replica of the country. While the metaverse has exciting potential for immersive experiences and applications in industries like tourism and retail, experts believe it will take another 5-10 years to fully develop into a mainstream platform.

Indian businesses are already exploring the metaverse for creative uses. For instance, carmakers like Maruti Suzuki let customers virtually customize vehicles, while brands like Tanishq and MakeMyTrip are creating interactive digital experiences. However, challenges like expensive VR/AR devices, interoperability issues between platforms, and energy consumption hinder progress.

In the realm of blockchain technology and Web3—buzzwords that gained popularity in 2021—India is treading cautiously. Web3 is built on decentralized systems like blockchain and includes things like cryptocurrencies and NFTs (non-fungible tokens). While global investments in Web3 startups have been massive, India’s regulatory landscape remains restrictive with heavy taxes on crypto gains and limitations on offsetting losses. Controversies like the WazirX-Binance ownership dispute add to investor uncertainty.

Cryptocurrencies continue to face ups and downs globally. Events like policy endorsements or regulatory decisions often lead to sudden value swings. While blockchain technology holds great promise for digital ownership and decentralized ecosystems, it’s clear that regulatory clarity will be key for future growth.

Quantum computing is another revolutionary technology gaining momentum as governments and companies invest billions to unlock its potential. Unlike traditional computers that process bits (0s or 1s) one at a time, quantum computers use qubits that can handle multiple states simultaneously. This makes them exponentially more powerful but also prone to errors. Google’s latest quantum chip, Willow, has made strides by reducing these errors while scaling up qubits.

Quantum computing could drastically speed up fields like AI model training, drug discovery, and logistics optimization. India’s National Quantum Mission aims to develop quantum computers with up to 1,000 qubits in the next decade. While there’s still a long way to go before quantum computers become stable enough for everyday use—possibly not before 2030—the technology has immense potential for industries like biopharma and cryptography.

From generative AI to smart cities and quantum computing, innovation is reshaping how we live and work. But for these technologies to reach their full potential, challenges around cost, scalability, regulations, and sustainability must first be addressed.

  • Advika

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